Hey DT Coaches,
Baker here with my weekly TRADE TALK, where I discuss “How to Break Even” and stay ahead of the pack.
With another amazing round completed we have a lot of hot BE’s and some not so hot BE’s. Let’s jump right in and check out the good and the bad for this week.
Top 15 Good Break Evens for Round 4
Ranked by Projected Price Changes
| Name | Team | Position | Value |
Break Even |
Projected RD 4 Price Change |
Projected RD 4 Score |
| Oliver Wines | Power | MID | $248,000 |
-61 |
+$69,600 |
102 |
| Dean Terlich | Demons | DEF | $102,700 |
-70 |
+$58,300 |
66 |
| Justin Westhoff | Power | FWD | $463,600 |
-20 |
+$55,200 |
109 |
| Jaeger O’Meara | Suns | MID | $180,000 |
-52 |
+$55,100 |
77 |
| Sam Rowe | Blues | FWD/RUC | $108,500 |
-63 |
+$54,300 |
64 |
| Brad Crouch | Crows | MID | $108,500 |
-61 |
+$53,000 |
63 |
| Sam Dwyer | Magpies | FWD/MID | $141,600 |
-57 |
+$49,300 |
58 |
| Jack Hutchins | Suns | DEF | $108,500 |
-57 |
+$47,800 |
55 |
| Callum Sinclair | Eagles | FWD/RUC | $105,300 |
-53 |
+$47,500 |
58 |
| Jackson Merrett | Bombers | MID | $127,800 |
-61 |
+$45,600 |
46 |
| Matt Jones | Demons | MID | $163,600 |
-37 |
+$45,000 |
68 |
| Jake Neade | Power | FWD/MID | $162,300 |
-41 |
+$44,600 |
63 |
| Chad Wingard | Power | MID | $306,200 |
-28 |
+$44,100 |
75 |
| Aaron Mullett | Kangaroos | MID | $312,500 |
-15 |
+$40,800 |
80 |
| Josh J. Kennedy | Eagles | FWD | $335,700 |
-12 |
+$40,500 |
83 |
Top 15 Bad Break Evens for Round 4
Ranked by Projected Price Change
| Name | Team | Position | Value |
Break Even |
Projected RD 4 Price Change |
Projected RD 4 Score |
| Craig Bird | Swans | FWD/MID | $354,300 |
173 |
-$54,000 |
47 |
| Sam Wright | Kangaroos | DEF | $344,900 |
160 |
-$49,500 |
44 |
| Darren Jolly | Magpies | RUC | $427,600 |
183 |
-$49,100 |
68 |
| Liam Anthony | Kangaroos | MID | $499,200 |
191 |
-$46,100 |
83 |
| Jack Watts | Demons | DEF/FWD | $360,600 |
155 |
-$45,700 |
48 |
| Jack Gunston | Hawks | FWD | $315,200 |
138 |
-$40,700 |
43 |
| Levi Casboult | Blues | FWD | $283,600 |
136 |
-$40,000 |
42 |
| Ryan Crowley | Dockers | MID | $278,400 |
132 |
-$37,400 |
45 |
| Ben Jacobs | Kangaroos | DEF | $311,000 |
128 |
-$37,100 |
41 |
| Andrew Carrazzo | Blues | MID | $432,800 |
157 |
-$36,100 |
73 |
| Sam Blease | Demons | FWD/MID | $293,700 |
120 |
-$35,300 |
38 |
| Ashley McGrath | Lions | DEF/FWD | $296,100 |
125 |
-$34,600 |
44 |
| Shane Tuck | Tigers | MID | $495,100 |
161 |
-$34,000 |
82 |
| Brandon Ellis | Tigers | DEF | $250,100 |
110 |
-$32,000 |
35 |
| Shane Mumford | Swans | RUC | $400,500 |
145 |
-$31,000 |
72 |
Baker’s Best Buys
- Oliver Wines – Port Adelaide are on fire and they play Gold Coast this week, this is a no brainer.
- Justin Westhoff – I know, I know, but he seems to be unstoppable and with Gold Coast this week, get on the Westhoff train.
- Dean Terlich – Even with Melbourne getting smashed weekly, he is still scoring well. At least you know the ball with be down that end of the ground a lot.
- Sam Rowe – With Kreuzer with a suspected fractured thumb he is a sure thing to play over the next few weeks.
- Callum Sinclair – With Nic Nat out indefinitely, he seems to be a good fit for West Coast. Popping up with a couple of goals here and there, good bench ruck option.
Baker’s Offloads
- Craig Bird – He is not flying so well, starting as sub is killing him.
- Darren Jolly – Will probably be back this week but has a BE of 183, as a ruckman it’s never going to happen.
- Andrew Carrazzo – Last year as a defender he was gold but now only able to fit in your midfield he just isn’t cutting the mustard. Better players avalible.
- Shane Tuck – I think age has finally caught up with Tucky. With Cotchin and Martin a quicker and younger option, he is not going to get any better.
- Dayne Zorko – I know he is not on the top 15 bad BE’s but he has killed me in the last 3 rounds and is set to lose another $26,200. Not on my watch. Not so magnificent at the moment.
Baker’s Spotlight
Being a Hawks man I’m keen to see Luke Hodge get back to his best. With a 99 on return and a 135 against the Pies, I need him in my team. If he stays injury free this year he could be a gold mine!
Baker’s Keys to BEs
- Look for guns that have under-performed and are on the comeback.
- If a player is going to miss his BE and lose substantial money, trade them unless they are part of your long term plans.
- Look for rookies that are going to go up in value fast. If one is under-performing, trade them for another rookie that will make you money. No time for sentiment.
Good Luck DT Coaches!
Pingback: AFL Dreamteam Round 4 – in 5 minutes | DreamTeam FML - AFL Fantasy Dream Team 2013 Preseason, Rookies, Bargains, Advice, & CheatSheets